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Nato must wake up to Russia’s nuclear power deal with Turkey

swm 2024.09.06 13:12 조회 수 : 83

Moscow is laying the ground for long-term control of vital infrastructure in an alliance member state

Gönül Tol AUGUST 21 2024
  • Pray that Russia's plan to expand their power through a nuclear deal with Turkey would NOT succeed by divine intervention of God.
  • Pray that the West and Nato would pay close attention to Russia's long long-term plan of vital infrastructure in alliance member states.
  • Pray that the Church of Jesus Christ would stay awake in prayers during these last days as the prophecy regarding the Middle East will come to pass swiftly.
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Vladimir Putin have signed an intergovernmental agreement on the Akkuyu nuclear power plant, making it constitutionally impossible for a post-Erdoğan government to contest it © Sergei Guneyev/AFP/Getty Images

3 days ago, the last functioning unit at the EDL was shut down due to the complete depletion of the fuel reserve. This has led to a nationwide power outage affecting critical infrastructure across Lebanon including the airport, port, water pumps, sewage systems etc...

This is not the first time that Lebanon has undergone complete darkness, so many of us have learned to adapt, with shared neighborhood generators and solar power. Evidently many people cannot afford to install solar power or the generators cost which is quite high so many are indeed living in total darkness

It is true that the airport has back up generators; however, i went down to the airport 2 days ago and all the Air conditioning units are off and needless to say it is very very hot at the airport.

The water pumps that are distributing water to the houses have also suffered and this is causing an additional burden on people.

The writer is director of the Turkey programme at the Middle East Institute and author of ‘Erdoğan’s War: A Strongman’s Struggle at Home and in Syria’

Ask Nato’s secretary-general to name the decision of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan that irks him the most and he’d probably say purchasing Russia’s S-400 missile defence system. But Nato has an even bigger problem when it comes to Turkey-Russia ties: the Akkuyu nuclear power plant.

Erdoğan likes to call the facility, being built by Russia’s state-owned Rosatom on the Mediterranean coast, “Turkey’s first nuclear power plant”. In reality, it belongs to Russia. In the standard engineering, procurement and construction model, the supplier designs and builds the reactor before turning over the keys. Akkuyu uses a build-own-operate (BOO) model unprecedented for the industry. Russia retains majority ownership but bears all the financial, operational and construction risks.

Moscow’s all-inclusive package covers construction, operation and personnel training, handling spent nuclear fuel and the ultimate decommissioning — all very appealing for a nuclear newcomer like Turkey. BOO contracts are expensive for Moscow, which is why Russia has only implemented it at Akkuyu and is reluctant to use it again. But President Vladimir Putin must have thought that the benefits of owning strategic infrastructure in a Nato country outweigh the financial risks. He’s probably right.

As someone born and raised a few miles from the plant, I am deeply concerned. The lack of transparency around the process, environmental risks and Rosatom’s poor safety record worry me and millions of locals. Western countries might dismiss such concerns and even praise Turkey for its green transition, but Akkuyu is also a Nato problem — a long-term one.

The Akkuyu project was hailed by Erdoğan as his plan to reduce Turkey’s energy dependence, particularly on Russia. But instead of doing that, the BOO arrangement binds Turkey and Russia together for the next century, through an expected 60-year operating cycle and the subsequent decommissioning process.

Turkey’s opposition parties are against the project. To shield it, Erdoğan signed an intergovernmental agreement with Putin, making it constitutionally impossible for a post-Erdoğan government to contest it. That means Russia, known for using energy as a geopolitical weapon, will have direct control over strategic infrastructure in a Nato country for 100 years, no matter who is in power.

And that’s not all. Akkuyu NPP is close to Incirlik air base, home to Nato’s largest nuclear weapons storage facility and a hub for supporting alliance missions. The plant is also in close proximity to Nato’s ballistic missile defence radar facility at Kürecik. The BOO contract puts Russian personnel and assets near these Nato installations. Turkey may build another radar to protect the plant. Military analysts and defence officials fear that since Akkuyu NPP belongs to Russia, Moscow might demand to operate this radar and bring in troops to provide security. Yankı Bağcıoğlu, a retired rear admiral who is deputy chair of the opposition Republican People’s party (CHP) in charge of national defence, told me Erdoğan must not let this happen.

The west has largely overlooked Russia’s use of nuclear energy to create long-term political, economic and military ties with strategically important countries. While Turkey was criticised and placed under sanctions for purchasing the S-400, western countries have been muted on Akkuyu. But now Turkey wants to build a second nuclear reactor and Russia is ahead in the bid. To deprive Moscow of a geopolitical asset and allay locals’ safety and environmental concerns, the west must do more to match Moscow’s favourable terms. Pressuring western development banks to drop their reluctance to finance nuclear energy projects would be a great start.

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